A Narwhal's Guide to Bayes' Rule

Please read part 1 and part 2 before continuing with the final piece below. Or read the whole guide in this handy PDF.

Fish jokes. Endless fish jokes.

You don’t need to do math to use Bayes. It is a tool for thinking for humans or machines.

If you flip back to slide 2, remember how that looked scary? I hope it is not anymore.

Any mistakes are mine. However, there are fewer than there might be thanks to the efforts of Linda Patton, Christopher Svec, Elizabeth Brenner, Andrei Chichak, and Christopher White.

If you want to know more, take a look at my favorite Bayes visualization method and this great warehouse of explanation techniques.